Archive - Unexpected Points

Super Bowl LX Patriots-Seahawks: Advanced Review

The Seahawks defense shines in the biggest game of the season, with their offense managing the game and avoiding losses

Feb 9 • Kevin Cole

NFL Plus/Minus: Myles Garrett is the Defensive Player of the Year (Again)

Using historical on-off the field splits and player clustering to estimate value of defenders

Feb 5 • Kevin Cole

NFL Plus/Minus: Who Should Be The 2025 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year?

Using proprietary NFL Plus/Minus methodology to concretely assign value to all non-quarterback offensive players

Feb 3 • Kevin Cole

January 2026

Super Bowl NFL Power Rankings

The Super Bowl looks fairly even by my numbers, with neither team looking like a dominant force

Jan 28 • Kevin Cole

Conference Championship: Advanced Reviews

All the advanced stats, visualizations & commentary for Broncos-Patriots & Seahawks-Rams

Jan 26 • Kevin Cole

Conference Championship NFL Power Rankings

The top-3 2025 performers are into the Conference Championships, and how do we adjust for the Broncos' new quarterback?

Jan 20 • Kevin Cole

Divisional Round Sunday Football: Advanced Reviews

All the advanced stats, visualizations & commentary for Patriots-Texans & Bears-Rams

Jan 19 • Kevin Cole

Divisional Round Saturday Football: Advanced Reviews

All the advanced stats, visualizations & commentary for Broncos-Bills & Seahawks-49ers

Jan 18 • Kevin Cole

Divisional Round NFL Power Rankings

The Rams continue on a dream path to the Super Bowl, with the Bills enjoying an enormous quarterback advantage

Jan 14 • Kevin Cole

Wild Card Monday Night Steelers-Texans: Advanced Review

Rodgers crashes out in, perhaps, his last performance, and the Texans defense continues its dominance

Jan 13 • Kevin Cole

Wild Card Round Sunday: Advanced Reviews

All the advanced stats, visualizations & commentary for Jaguars-Bills, Eagles-49ers & Patriots-Chargers

Jan 12 • Kevin Cole

Wild Card Round Saturday Football: Advanced Reviews

All the advanced stats, visualizations & commentary for Panthers-Rams & Bears-Packers

Jan 11 • Kevin Cole

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