Research

2025 NFL Offseason: Improvement Index for all 32 teams

Projecting point-differential gains and losses based on offseason moves for every NFL team

Mar 10 •

NFL Plus/Minus: Myles Garrett is the Defensive Player of the Year (Again)

Using historical on-off the field splits and player clustering to estimate value of defenders

Jan 16 •

NFL Plus/Minus: Who Should Be The 2024 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year?

Using proprietary NFL Plus/Minus methodology to concretely assign value to all non-quarterback offensive players

Jan 9 •

2024 NFL Offseason: Improvement Index for all 32 teams

Projecting point-differential gains and losses based on offseason moves for every NFL team

Mar 13, 2024 •

Inverting The Pyramid: The Optimal Offseason Guide to NFL Team-Building

Availability should dictate which positions are targeted when, placing the optimal bets at the right points in the offseason cycle

Mar 6, 2024 •

How much do we know about Stroud, Young and the rest of 2023 quarterback class?

We can't write-off or declare stardom for any quarterback after one season, but their results do tell us a lot about how to adjust our expectations

Jan 25, 2024 •

NFL Plus/Minus: Myles Garrett is the Defensive Player of the Year

Using historical on-off the field splits and player clustering to estimate value of defenders

Jan 12, 2024 •

NFL Plus/Minus: Is Christian McCaffrey or Tyreek Hill the Offensive Player of the Year?

Using propriety NFL Plus/Minus methodology to concretely assign value to all non-quarterback offensive players

Jan 9, 2024 •

Does the Preseason Matter? Wide Receiver Edition

Highlight clips are fun to watch, but not the best indicator of what rookies will do in the regular season

Aug 17, 2023 •

Does the Preseason Matter? Running Back Edition

There's plenty of signal in preseason rookie running back performance, if you know which stats matter

Aug 15, 2023 •

Does the Preseason Matter? Quarterback Edition

Digging through the (sparse & noisy) data and finding some signal for what the preseason can tell us about rookie and second-year quarterback play

Aug 14, 2023 •

What analytical draft value curves are missing about NFL roster building

We've come a long way since the days of the Jimmy Johnson draft chart, but newer analytical draft value curves are still missing critical context

Mar 27, 2023 •

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