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Apologies for this longer missive/diatribe Kevin, but it's at lunch where I have a second, and I really thought about it. And involves one of your (good) opinions.

Results bias in football is striking, and more prevalent than in any other sport, imo, maybe due to sample size. It's been going on forever.

In the last 48 hours we've seen Josh Allen labelled as "not a winner" while leading his team to leads as a road dog twice in the last two drives. And in the OT drive, having a receiver run a wrong route which likely would've been a TD win if not. ESPN analysts are talking about how much "better" Hurts is because he does "win."

Two weeks ago Josh Dobbs - career backup and on his seventh team in seven years - was anointed, while really not playing super well. He had something like 10 TWP's, 6 fumbles, and a PFF grade in the low sixties against NO and Denver. He is who he is, but he won two games. Vikings writers were talking about long term extensions, etc. Now he reverts to his mean - which really wasn't too far off how he played in his two wins - and they all want to bench him.

So, I thought about this, while thinking about your opinion. Fields had a terrible game last night. The Bears defense is really starting to play well. What if they followed your advice and drafted another top QB? They'd be the laughing stock of the NFL if they did that, presuming they drafted Bryce Young over CJ Stroud. The whole lot of them might already be fired.

That's just because of results bias. Your idea was great, imo. If they drafted Stroud they would look like geniuses and the Bears would be a force for possibly years. But drafting Young breeds the bad result. And, because of it, I suspect no team for the next fifty years would follow your advice of using their number one on another QB in the same situation.

Long lunch over. But, you were saved not gtting flamed for a hundred years on twitter, and I guess you can thank the Bears. Because when it comes to results bias, it's powerful in the sport and seems more often than not to end up getting everyone fired.

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