Week 9 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)

R.I.P. a peaking Cousins, Hurts into the top-5 and Dak within shouting distance of the leaders

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Check out the first the first installment of the Luck-Adjusted Efficiency numbers (free post) to get more details on the methodology below. I also have lots of information in past posts on Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE):

• AQE introduction

• Update to 2.0

• Updated to 3.0

• All previous write-ups

ESPN (finally) dropped its receiver tracking-based metrics on a new analytics website. Due to controversy and some issues that I have with the methodology, I’ve decided to exclude them from the calculation this year. I think mental adjustments for perceived receiver quality is more usual than using questionable “open” scores. Plus, I already incorporate YAC above expected into the analysis, which captures some of the receiver qualities that boost quarterback results.

2023 LUCK-ADJUSTED RESULTS

The plot below shows each quarterback who has dropped back to pass 100 times this season. There are two points for each quarterback: 1) The team-colored dot for the actual EPA per play the quarterback has this season and 2) The quarterback headshot representing the adjusted quarterback efficiency (EPA/play). There is also a team-colored line linking the two on each row.