Week 8 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)

Mahomes, Jackson and Hurts moving up, Goff down, and the gap at the top severely narrowed

Jalen Hurts is working his way up the rankings after a slow start

Check out the first the first installment of the Luck-Adjusted Efficiency numbers (free post) to get more details on the methodology below. I also have lots of information in past posts on Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE):

• AQE introduction

• Update to 2.0

• Updated to 3.0

• All previous write-ups

ESPN (finally) dropped its receiver tracking-based metrics on a new analytics website. There are a few issues with changes to the data and methodology for calculation that I’m still working through, but should have a “receiver adjustment” added to AQE for 2023 next week. also will add a “blocking adjustment”, which also has been delayed by switching data sources. Plus, I think it’s good to wait a number of weeks and wait for things like PFF grades to settle before incorporating them.

2023 LUCK-ADJUSTED RESULTS

The plot below shows each quarterback who has dropped back to pass 100 times this season. There are two points for each quarterback: 1) The team-colored dot for the actual EPA per play the quarterback has this season and 2) The quarterback headshot representing the adjusted quarterback efficiency (EPA/play). There is also a team-colored line linking the two on each row.