Unexpected Points

Unexpected Points

Share this post

Unexpected Points
Unexpected Points
Week 7 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Week 7 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)

Brock Purdy has his first bad performance (with rare poor luck too), Jared Goff enters the top-3 in total adjusted expected points added

Kevin Cole's avatar
Kevin Cole
Oct 19, 2023
∙ Paid
4

Share this post

Unexpected Points
Unexpected Points
Week 7 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
2
Share
Lions Film Review: Jared Goff passing touchdowns against Buccaneers

Check out the first the first installment of the Luck-Adjusted Efficiency numbers (free post) to get more details on the methodology below. I also have lots of information in past posts on Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE):

  • AQE introduction

  • Update to 2.0

  • Updated to 3.0

  • All previous write-ups

2023 LUCK-ADJUSTED RESULTS

The plot below shows each quarterback who has dropped back to pass 100 times this season. There are two points for each quarterback: 1) The team-colored dot for the actual EPA per play the quarterback has this season and 2) The quarterback headshot representing the adjusted quarterback efficiency (EPA/play). There is also a team-colored line linking the two on each row.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Unexpected Points to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Kevin
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More