Week 13 NFL Power Rankings

The Rams extend their lead over the rest of the NFL, with teams ranked second-to-ninth bunched up in the next tier

The Week 13 power rankings combine the initial, Week 1 power rankings I released and the evidence from four weeks of NFL football. The key in updating the rankings is knowing when to not overreact (Lions taking a shellacking in Green Bay) and when to be aggressively moving assumptions (maybe the Colts offense will be functional with a real NFL quarterback). Right now, the rankings incorporate roughly 95/5 mix of team strength based on this and last season’s performance.

For more info you can find the archive of previous Power Rankings posts, including the Week 1 rankings that detail much of the methodology of coming up with .

In this post, I’m going to walk through how my team-strength model views every team offensively and defensively for their 2025 performance going into Week 13, plus comparisons of my numbers to those derived by looking out over the next two weeks on the betting markets.

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STRENGTH

*Downloadable power ratings/rankings available in the paid subscriber Google sheet.

The Los Angeles Rams are separating at the top of the NFL, partially due to their own strong performances, and partially due to the general weakness of other “elite” NFL teams. The Rams have been the second best offensive and defensive team in the NFL by my numbers, with no other NFL team ranking in the top-5 in both phases of the game.