Super Bowl NFL Power Rankings

The Super Bowl looks fairly even by my numbers, with neither team looking like a dominant force

For more info you can find the archive of previous Power Rankings posts, including the Week 1 rankings that detail much of the methodology of coming up with the rest of the rankings throughout the season.

In this post, I’m going to walk through how my team-strength model views every team offensively and defensively for their 2025 performance going into the Super Bowl, plus details on which teams really belong in the playoffs and exactly how strong they are versus each other (points-based model).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STRENGTH

*Downloadable power ratings/rankings available in the paid subscriber Google sheet.

My anecdotal glances through Twitter sentiment (something I’m trying to do less and less recently) revealed a lean towards the Seattle Seahawks as the better team, with a material contingent seeing a blowout win over the New England Patriots as the likely outcome. Betting markets agree directionally, with the Seahawks currently 4.5-point favorites on a neutral field in Santa Clara. I’m sure someone has investigated if the Seahawks’ familiarity with the location as a divisional rival of the San Francisco 49ers gives them an edge, but that’s not part of my analysis.